With the first 2016 nomination contests at hand, a new survey underscores the extent to which Republicans have come to place less value on a presidential candidate’s prior experience in office – especially experience as a Washington official.
Currently, 44% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say they would be less likely to support a hypothetical presidential candidate who has been an elected official in Washington, D.C., for many years. Fewer than half as many Republicans (18%) say they would be more likely to support such a candidate, while 37% say extensive Washington experience would not matter.
By contrast, just 19% of Democrats and Democratic leaners view lengthy Washington experience as a negative trait for a candidate: 27% say they would be more likely to support such a candidate, and 53% say it would not be a factor.
The share of Republicans who say they would be less likely to support a candidate with many years of experience in Washington has more than doubled since 2007 – from 20% to 44% – while showing less change among Democrats (increasing from 12% to 19%).
In 2007, only 15% of the public overall said they would be less likely to support a candidate with extensive experience in Washington, while 35% said they would be more likely to do so. About half (45%) said this would not factor into their decision. In 2016, roughly twice as many (31%) say they would be less likely to support a candidate with Washington experience as said this nine years ago, while about two-in-ten (22%) now say they would view this experience positively. The share saying that this would not be a factor remains unchanged (46%).
These findings come from a new Pew Research Center survey released Jan. 27. (See the full report, “Faith and the 2016 Campaign,” for a list of all 13 candidate traits included in the survey, including views of the impact of a candidate’s religious affiliation.)
In a survey conducted in September that did not ask specifically about Washington experience, 65% of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters said it was more important for a presidential candidate to have “new ideas and a different approach,” while just 29% valued “experience and proven record.” This marked a shift in views from March: At that time, a majority of GOP voters (57%) viewed experience as more important than new ideas and a different approach.
The new survey, conducted Jan. 7-14, finds that Republicans and Democrats differ over the importance of many aspects of a hypothetical presidential candidate’s background, beyond experience as a Washington official.
Among the public generally, military experience is viewed as the most appealing of the 13 traits tested. Half (50%) of the public say they would be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate who has served in the military; just 4% say they would be less likely to support such a candidate, while 45% say it would make no difference.
Two-thirds of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents (67%) say they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who has served in the military, compared with just 39% of Democrats and Democratic-leaners.
Few Democrats (just 5%) say they would be less likely to vote for a military veteran; most (55%) say military experience would not be a factor in their vote. This gap is about as wide as it was in the last presidential campaign.
More Republicans than Democrats would negatively view a candidate who does not believe in God (65% of Republicans less likely to support vs. 41% of Democrats), had a past extramarital affair (49% vs. 32%) or is gay or lesbian (38% vs. 16%).
While Republicans are more likely than Democrats to view a gay or lesbian candidate negatively, increasing shares in both parties say this would not be a factor in whom to support. Fully 77% of Democrats and 59% of Republicans say it would not matter if a candidate is gay or lesbian; in 2007, 58% and 36%, respectively, expressed this view.
For most Republicans and Democrats, a presidential candidate’s education at “a prestigious university such as Harvard or Yale” would not be a factor in deciding whom to support. Fully 78% of Republicans say a candidate’s attendance at prestigious university would not matter, as do 71% of Democrats. Nonetheless, somewhat more Democrats (24%) than Republicans (14%) say they would be more likely to support such a candidate.
While Democrats are far more supportive than Republicans of legalizing the use of marijuana, they have similar views of a hypothetical presidential candidate who used marijuana in the past. Large majorities of Democrats (78%) and Republicans (74%) say a candidate’s past use of marijuana would not matter.
Democrats and Republicans also have about the same views of a candidate who has had personal financial troubles. Roughly four-in-ten in both parties (42%) say they would be less likely to support such a candidate, while 50% of Republicans and 48% of Democrats say this would not matter.
Expositores: Oscar Vidarte (PUCP) Fernando González Vigil (Universidad del Pacífico) Inscripciones aquí. Leer más
Una retrospectiva para entender los próximos cuatro años. Leer más
En la conferencia se hará una presentación de los temas más relevantes del proceso de negociación se llevó a cabo desde el 2012, así como del acuerdo de paz firmado entre el Gobierno colombiano y la guerrilla de las FARC a finales del 2016. Se analizarán los desafíos y las... Leer más
El Observatorio de las Relaciones Peruano-Norteamericanas (ORPN) de la Universidad del Pacífico es un programa encargado de analizar y difundir información relevante sobre la situación política, económica y social de Estados Unidos y analizar, desde una perspectiva multidisciplinaria, su efecto en las relaciones bilaterales con el Perú.
© 2024 Universidad del Pacífico - Departamento Académico de Humanidades. Todos los derechos reservados.