Según el New York Times, Hillary Clinton mantiene un ventaja de casi 6 puntos sobre Donald Trump. Además, disfruta de un 93% de probabilidades de llegar a la Casa Blanca. Todas las encuestas recogidas por el Times también dan ventaja a Clinton. Según ABC News, la exSenadora aventaja a Trump por un margen de 12%. Tanto el Rasmussen Report como IBD/TIPP sólo le reconocen un 1% de ventaja a la candidata demócrata.
Upshot Forecast: Hillary Clinton has a 93% chance to win →
| Clinton |
Trump |
| Rasmussen New |
10/20 – 10/24 |
I.V.R./Online1,500
|
43 |
42 |
Clinton +1 |
| IBD/TIPP New |
10/19 – 10/24 |
Live Phone873
|
42 |
41 |
Clinton +1 |
| ABC News New |
10/22 – 10/23 |
Live Phone611
|
50 |
38 |
Clinton +12 |
| CNN New |
10/20 – 10/23 |
Live Phone517
|
49 |
44 |
Clinton +5 |
| UPI/CVoter New |
10/17 – 10/23 |
Online1,414
|
50 |
46 |
Clinton +4 |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey New |
10/17 – 10/23 |
Online32,225
|
50 |
44 |
Clinton +6 |
| ABC News |
10/20 – 10/22 |
Live Phone874
|
50 |
38 |
Clinton +12 |
| Politico/Morning Consult |
10/19 – 10/20 |
Online1,395
|
46 |
40 |
Clinton +6 |
| American Research Group |
10/17 – 10/20 |
Live Phone1,006
|
49 |
42 |
Clinton +7 |
| Rasmussen |
10/17 – 10/19 |
I.V.R./Online1,500
|
40 |
43 |
Trump +3 |
The New York Times polling averages use all polls currently listed in The Huffington Post’s polling database. Polls conducted more recently and polls with a larger sample size are given greater weight in computing the averages, and polls with partisan sponsors are excluded. Here’s how different types of polls work.
*Some pollsters do not include Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in their questions. For the averages that include Mr. Johnson, we use all presidential preference questions that mention him. For more on Mr. Johnson’s chances, read on.
New York Times October 25, 2016
