Según el New York Times, Hillary Clinton mantiene una ventaja del 2% a nivel nacional sobre Donald Trump, con un 44 % de intención de voto.. Merece destacar que tras varios días dandole ventaja a Trump de 5%, la encuesta del Rasmussen Reporet da Clinton un ventaja de un 1%, es decir, un empate técnico. A nivel estatal, Clinton se muestra fuerte en estados claves como Minnesota, Virgina y New Hampshire. Por su parte Trump se muestra fuerte en losestados de Georgia y Arizona. La situación en la Florida no parece estar definida. Según el Times, Clinton tiene un 74% de posibilidad de llegar a la Casa Blanca.

The Upshot Forecast: Hillary Clinton has a 74% chance of winning the presidency →

The New York Times polling averages use all polls currently listed in The Huffington Post’s polling database. Polls conducted more recently and polls with a larger sample size are given greater weight in computing the averages, and polls with partisan sponsors are excluded. Here’s how different types of polls work.

*Some pollsters do not include Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in their questions. For the averages that include Mr. Johnson, we use all presidential preference questions that mention him. For more on Mr. Johnson’s chances, read on.

State Polling Averages

The candidates will focus on several key states. Below are the averages in crucial states with a new poll in the past month and at least three polls in 2016. A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.

Latest Election Polls 2016

The New York Times   September 30, 2016