Según el New York Times, a dos días de las elecciones, Hillary Clinton mantiene una ventaja de dos puntos sobre Donald Trump, lo que anuncia una elección muy cerrada. La probabilidad de una victoria demócrata es de un 84%. Solo una de las encuestas recogidas por el diario neoyorquino ve ganando a Trump (IBD/TIPP por 1%). El Rasmussen Report los ve empatados. Tanto ABC News/Washington Post y Lucid/The Times-Picayunen vena ganando a Clinton por un 5%.
The New York Times polling averages use all polls currently listed in The Huffington Post’s polling database. Polls conducted more recently and polls with a larger sample size are given greater weight in computing the averages, and polls with partisan sponsors are excluded. Here’s how different types of polls work.
*Some pollsters do not include Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in their questions. For the averages that include Mr. Johnson, we use all presidential preference questions that mention him. For more on Mr. Johnson’s chances, read on.
The New York Times November 6, 2016
